Kurt Will Books

Fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examples. Probability and statistics are increasingly important in a huge range of professions. But many people use data in ways they don't even understand, meaning they aren't getting the most from it. Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way will change that. This book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics through simple explanations and un-boring examples. Find out the probability of UFOs landing in your garden, how likely Han Solo is to survive a flight through an asteroid shower, how to win an argument about conspiracy theories, and whether a burglary really was a burglary, to name a few examples. By using these off-the-beaten-track examples, the author actually makes learning statistics fun. And you'll learn real skills, like how to: - How to measure your own level of uncertainty in a conclusion or belief - Calculate Bayes theorem and understand what it's useful for - Find the posterior, likelihood, and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions - Calculate distributions to see the range of your data - Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions from them Next time you find yourself with a sheaf of survey results and no idea what to do with them, turn to Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way to get the most value from your data.

Unlike any other programming language, Haskell is purely functional with a strong type system and lazy evaluation. It is arguable the most interesting language but also has the reputation of being one of the most challenging to learn. Learning Haskell doesn't have to be difficult, and this book can help!Learn Haskell teaches readers the Haskell language and functional programming concepts while they hack on interesting problems that are challenging but never frustrating. This example-filled tutorial will take users from the basics to tackling the tough topics. There are lots of crystal-clear illustrations, hands-on exercises, and open-ended tasks that encourage readers to explore Haskell on their own.Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications.

Przy rozwiązywaniu dowolnego problemu tradycyjna analiza statystyczna często generuje nam kolejną kupkę danych. Ale jak wyciągnąć zdroworozsądkowe, realne wnioski z tych zimnych liczb? Statystyka bayesowska na wesoło pokaże ci, jak podejmować lepsze decyzje probabilistyczne, używając naturalnej intuicji i prostej matematyki. Ten zrozumiały elementarz wyjaśnia, jak używać metod bayesowskich przez jasne wyjaśnienia i zabawne przykłady. Będziesz polował na UFO, aby uchwycić codzienne rozumowanie, obliczysz, czy Han Solo przeżyje pole asteroid, używając rozkładów prawdopodobieństwa, a także opiszesz prawdopodobieństwo, czy masz poważnego guza mózgu, a nie po prostu za dużo wosku w uchu. Te zróżnicowane ćwiczenia pomogą każdemu stworzyć elastyczny i rzetelny sposób myślenia, który przyda ci się w szerokim zakresie wyzwań, od prawdziwego i intuicyjnego zrozumienia aktualnych wydarzeń do radzenia sobie z codziennymi niespodziankami świata biznesu.