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The Doomsday Argument, Self-Sampling Assumption, and Self-Indication Assumption are wrong; J. Richard Gott III's delta <i>t</i> argument underestimates longevity, providing lower bounds on probabilities of longevity, and is equivalent to Laplace's Rule of Succession; but Non-Parametric Predictive Inference based on the work of Bruce M. Hill and Frank P.A. Coolen is consistent with a plausible theory of induction; and Ayn Rand's identification of characteristics as ranges of measurement establishes a philosophical foundation for such a theory of induction.This monograph is a much-revised and much-expanded version of the author's article, "Past Longevity as Evidence for the Future," published in <i>Philosophy of Science</i> (January 2009), often recognized as the leading peer-reviewed journal in its field. Since its publication, that article has been cited favorably in these top-ranked philosophical journals: <i>Journal of Philosophy</i>, <em>Analysis</em>, <i>Synthese</i>, and <i>Ratio</i>.
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The Longevity Argument, Ronald Pisaturo
- Language
- Released
- 2016
- Binding
- (Paperback)
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- Title
- The Longevity Argument
- Subtitle
- The Doomsday Argument is wrong, and logical induction has a philosophical basis.
- Language
- English
- Authors
- Ronald Pisaturo
- Released
- 2016
- Format
- Paperback
- Pages
- 90
- ISBN10
- 1532847416
- ISBN13
- 9781532847417
- Series
- Description
- The Doomsday Argument, Self-Sampling Assumption, and Self-Indication Assumption are wrong; J. Richard Gott III's delta <i>t</i> argument underestimates longevity, providing lower bounds on probabilities of longevity, and is equivalent to Laplace's Rule of Succession; but Non-Parametric Predictive Inference based on the work of Bruce M. Hill and Frank P.A. Coolen is consistent with a plausible theory of induction; and Ayn Rand's identification of characteristics as ranges of measurement establishes a philosophical foundation for such a theory of induction.This monograph is a much-revised and much-expanded version of the author's article, "Past Longevity as Evidence for the Future," published in <i>Philosophy of Science</i> (January 2009), often recognized as the leading peer-reviewed journal in its field. Since its publication, that article has been cited favorably in these top-ranked philosophical journals: <i>Journal of Philosophy</i>, <em>Analysis</em>, <i>Synthese</i>, and <i>Ratio</i>.