Daniel Kahneman was an Israeli-American psychologist whose work delved into the cognitive processes underlying human judgment and decision-making. Alongside Amos Tversky, he established a cognitive foundation for common human errors, examining heuristics and biases. Kahneman extensively explored how people perceive risk and rewards, developing the pivotal Prospect Theory. His research significantly advanced behavioral economics and psychology by providing profound insights into the rationality and irrationality of the human mind.
Judgment pervades human experience. Do I have a strong enough case to go to trial? Will the Fed change interest rates? Can I trust this person? This book examines how people answer such questions. How do people cope with the complexities of the world economy, the uncertain behavior of friends and adversaries, or their own changing tastes and personalities? When are people's judgments prone to bias, and what is responsible for their biases? This book compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer these important questions.
The contemporary rabbi is influenced by the modern rabbinic establishments throughout the world, including the rabbinate in Israel. The rabbinate's monopoly on opinions and interpretations prevents rabbis from expressing their individual positions out of fear of delegitimization. The current structure gives the public a negative impression of the rabbinic establishment. The Importance of the Community Rabbi strives to describe and delineate key requirements for a good rabbi, i.e., one who can provide socially acceptable halachic solutions within the parameters of Orthodox thinking. Rabbi Sperber elucidates the halachic techniques and mechanisms that may be used toward this goal. These are further illustrated with stories from rabbinic literature and examples from various responsa.
Choices, Values, and Frames presents an empirical and theoretical challenge to classical utility theory, offering prospect theory as an alternative framework. Extensions and applications to diverse economic phenomena and to studies of consumer behavior are discussed. The book also elaborates on framing effects and other demonstrations that preferences are constructed in context, and it develops new approaches to the standard view of choice-based utility. As with the classic 1982 volume, Judgment Under Uncertainty, this volume is comprised of papers published in diverse academic journals. The editors have written several new chapters and a preface to provide a context for the work.
Psychologist Daniel Kahneman reveals the truth about our intuitions and rationality to teach us how to better our lives. He explores the fascinating flaws and marvels of human behaviour and reveals to us the common errors in people's beliefs.
From the world leaders in strategic thinking and bestselling authors of Thinking Fast and Slow and Nudge comes a transformative exploration of decision-making. Consider the scenario where two doctors in the same city provide differing diagnoses for identical patients, or two judges issue varying sentences for similar crimes. These discrepancies illustrate noise: the variability in judgments that should be consistent.
In this insightful work, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein reveal how noise leads to errors across various fields, including medicine, law, public health, economic forecasting, forensic science, child protection, creative strategy, performance review, and hiring. Despite its prevalence, noise often goes unrecognized by individuals and organizations, resulting in significant costs.
Rich with innovative ideas and employing the sharp analysis that characterized their previous bestsellers, this book delves into why humans are prone to noise and bias in their decision-making. It highlights that we frequently make poor judgments, often more than we realize. By presenting a few straightforward remedies, this groundbreaking work offers insights into how we can improve our decision-making processes.
Наши действия и поступки определены нашими мыслями. Но всегда ли мы контролируем наше мышление? Нобелевский лауреат Даниэль Канеман объясняет, почему мы подчас совершаем нерациональные поступки и как мы принимаем неверные решения. У нас имеется две системы мышления. «Медленное» мышление включается, когда мы решаем задачу или выбираем товар в магазине. Обычно нам кажется, что мы уверенно контролируем эти процессы, но не будем забывать, что позади нашего сознания в фоновом режиме постоянно работает «быстрое» мышление – автоматическое, мгновенное и неосознаваемое…
"We need books like this one." --Steven Pinker At last, stupidity explained! And by some of the world's smartest people, among them Daniel Kahneman, Dan Ariely, Alison Gopnik, Howard Gardner, Antonio Damasio, Aaron James, and Ryan Holiday. And so I proclaim, o idiots of every stripe and morons of all kinds, this is your moment of glory: this book speaks only to you. But you will not recognize yourselves... Stupidity is all around us, from the coworker who won't stop hitting "reply all" to the former high school classmate posting conspiracy theories on Facebook. But in order to vanquish it, we must first understand it. In The Psychology of Stupidity, some of the world's leading psychologists and thinkers--including a Nobel Prize winner and bestselling authors--will show you... why smart people sometimes believe in utter nonsense; how our lazy brains cause us to make the wrong decisions; why trying to debate fools is a trap; how media manipulation and Internet overstimulation make us dumber; why the stupidest people don't think they're stupid. The wisdom and wit of these experts are a balm for our aggrieved souls and a beacon of hope in a world of morons.
Daniel Kahneman, uno de los pensadores mas importantes del mundo, recibio el premio Nobel de Economia por su trabajo pionero en psicologia sobre el modelo racional de la toma de decisiones. Sus ideas han tenido un profundo impacto en campos tan diversos como la economia, la medicina o la politica, pero hasta ahora no habia reunido la obra de su vida en un libro. En "Pensar rapido, pensar despacio," un exito internacional, Kahneman nos ofrece una revolucionaria perspectiva del cerebro y explica los dos sistemas que modelan como pensamos. El sistema 1 es rapido, intuitivo y emocional, mientras que el sistema 2 es mas lento, deliberativo y logico. Kahneman expone la extraordinaria capacidad (y tambien los errores y los sesgos) del pensamiento rapido, y revela la duradera influencia de las impresiones intuitivas sobre nuestro pensamiento y nuestra conducta. El impacto de la aversion a la perdida y el exceso de confianza en las estrategias empresariales, la dificultad de predecir lo que nos hara felices en el futuro, el reto de enmarcar adecuadamente los riesgos en el trabajo y en el hogar, el profundo efecto de los sesgos cognitivos sobre todo lo que hacemos, desde jugar en la Bolsa hasta planificar las vacaciones; todo esto solo puede ser comprendido si entendemos el funcionamiento conjunto de los dos sistemas a la hora de formular nuestros juicios y decisiones. Al implicar al lector en una animada reflexion sobre como pensamos, Kahneman consigue revelar cuando podemos confiar en nuestras intuiciones y cuando no, y de que modo podemos aprovechar los beneficios del pensamiento lento. Ademas, ofrece ensenanzas practicas e iluminadoras sobre como se adoptan decisiones en la vida profesional o personal, y sobre como podemos usar distintas tecnicas para protegernos de los fallos mentales que nos crean problemas. "Pensar rapido, pensar despacio" cambiara para siempre nuestra manera de pensar sobre como pensamos.
