In this text an international banking expert grapples with issues that surround the trend toward financial globalization and its potential impact on financial fragility. He analyzes four major crisis experiences: Latin America, 1982-3; Mexico, 1994-5; East Asia, 1997-8; and Russia since 1998.
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This book contains proceedings of the International Conference organized by the International Triffin Foundation in September 2000. As a result of a two-day session of intense discussion among experts, this book presents a study programme, a proposal for action, to manage and to regulate international financial relations. The future of the EMU raises numerous questions. The tripolar regime - euro, dollar, yen - which is now emerging, foreshadows a period of cyclical instability. Such an evolution represents a major change in the international monetary system. A glance at the past indicates that such movements cause doubt and disturbances. Prevention of forthcoming crises seems then to be essential. But if this raises a serious challenge, it does not mean that we are faced with a brand new problem. Several visionary economists have underlined dangers and opportunities inherent within a shift in any monetary regime. Robert Triffin is one of the leading economists on questions concerning the monetary and financial systems. His work, because it does not purport to provide definitive answers, deserves to be re-examined on current uncertainties. The merit of the present work consists in attempting to draw on Triffin's intellectual legacy to deal with current and future problems.