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- 368 pages
- 13 hours of reading
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It is the somewhat gratifying lesson of Philip Tetlock's new book . . . that people who make prediction their business--people who appear as experts on television, get quoted in newspaper articles, advise governments and businesses, and participate in punditry roundtables--are no better than the rest of us. When they're wrong, they're rarely held accountable, and they rarely admit it, either. . . . It would be nice if there were fewer partisans on television disguised as analysts and experts. . . . But the best lesson of Tetlock's book may be the one that he seems most reluctant to draw: Think for yourself.--Louis Menand, The New Yorker
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Expert Political Judgment, Philip Tetlock
- Language
- Released
- 2017
- product-detail.submit-box.info.binding
- (Paperback)
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- Title
- Expert Political Judgment
- Language
- English
- Authors
- Philip Tetlock
- Publisher
- Princeton University Press
- Released
- 2017
- Format
- Paperback
- Pages
- 368
- ISBN10
- 0691175977
- ISBN13
- 9780691175973
- Series
- Tags
- Non-Fiction, Social Sciences, Business, Business & Management, Political Science & Politics, Psychological Topics, Philosophical Topics, Politics, Science
- Rating
- 3.95 out of 5
- Description
- It is the somewhat gratifying lesson of Philip Tetlock's new book . . . that people who make prediction their business--people who appear as experts on television, get quoted in newspaper articles, advise governments and businesses, and participate in punditry roundtables--are no better than the rest of us. When they're wrong, they're rarely held accountable, and they rarely admit it, either. . . . It would be nice if there were fewer partisans on television disguised as analysts and experts. . . . But the best lesson of Tetlock's book may be the one that he seems most reluctant to draw: Think for yourself.--Louis Menand, The New Yorker