Science of Conjecture

Exploring the methods used to make reliable predictions before the advent of probability theory, the book delves into the practices of judges, scientists, and merchants in evaluating evidence and weighing theories. Franklin investigates how legal systems, scientific reasoning, and commercial practices developed techniques for dealing with uncertainty, providing insights into the historical context of decision-making processes in various fields. Through these explorations, the text highlights the evolution of thought around conjecture and evidence assessment.