Central Asia is Teetering on the Brink

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The establishment of the Taliban's Suicide Brigade has reignited concerns in Central Asia, Russia, and Europe, particularly due to the deployment of over 6,000 fighters near their borders. Both Central Asia and Europe have refused to recognize the Taliban government, fearing the implications of this military presence. Recent violence in Kazakhstan has validated predictions that terrorist and extremist organizations based in Afghanistan could target Central Asian states with nuclear or biological weapons. These groups may attack civilian, military, and nuclear facilities, as they have regained the expertise to deploy a Dirty Bomb. Nuclear terrorism poses a persistent threat to peace in the region. Additionally, Tablighi Jamaat from Pakistan has emerged as a new threat, creating extremist networks in Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh. This group demonstrated its capabilities by orchestrating protests against Kazakhstan's government in January 2022. The recent turmoil in Kazakhstan and Tajikistan has heightened fears of extremist and jihadist groups potentially using biological, radiological, and chemical weapons against military and critical infrastructure. The most significant threat to Russia's national security arises from nuclear smuggling and state-sponsored terror groups operating within Central Asia.